segunda-feira, 06 de agosto, 2018

Economists keep Selic projection steady at 6.50% until end of 2018 in research Focus

SAO PAULO (Reuters)-the market kept your projection that the Selic rate will not be disturbed so soon by the Central Bank, amid the backdrop of inflation and weak economic activity, showed the research Focus of the Central Bank disclosed on Monday. According to the weekly survey, economists consulted kept the predictions that the prime rate will be maintained at a minimum of 6,50% by the end of this year, rising to 8% in 2019. The Central Bank kept the Selic in 6,50% the year last week, noting that the resumption of economic activity will be even more gradual than expected before the Teamsters ' strike, against a backdrop of lower inflationary pressure that paves the way for the interest continue in your lowest level history ahead. About the stoppage of the Teamsters, which took place at the end of may, the Central Bank noted that the effects that increased inflation "should be temporary". The Focus showed that the market still maintained your high estimation of IPCA in 4.11 and 4,10% in 2018 and 2019, respectively, both down the center of the target, 4,25%. For 2020, the Bills also continued in 4% but to 2021, there was a decrease in the 3,93% projections, up from 4% the week before. For 2020 and 2021, the inflation target of the Government is 4.0 and 3,75% by the IPCA. In all of them, the tolerance margin is 1.5 percentage point. The low inflation scenario comes along with the economy with less momentum. According to Focus, the projections of growth of gross domestic product (GDP) this year continued in 1,50%, after they arrived at 3% a few months ago. To 2019, the estimate is 2,50% expansion, also unchanged.
Reuters - 06/08/2018 Noticia traduzida automaticamente
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